Salmon Run

[phutch30]

What your saying hold merit. However, it would require them to kill all the early fish. The hatcheries keep fish from all phases of the run. We are just as much to blame. All the salmon we catch in May are those march/april fish from the lower river. I dont think the geneticists can say how many early fish are required to maintain the "early run" gene.

If the run turns out to be way off I am going to be really surprised and Its not looking good right now thats for sure. I think the lower river group screws ID, BUT thier predictions are based on prior year jack returns. So in that respect I cant blame them. Recently thats been almost crystal ball type prediciting.

My biggest concern is why we are having these large jack returns without a following equally large run of adults. This indicates theres something broke in the system. The smolts are getting to the ocean but for some reason a very large percentage are jacking.

Im still hoping, but I think we've lost the "good run" possiblity and we are rapidly enterering the "hopefully we get enough for a season" realm. I hope Im wrong but remember on June 15 all springers turn into summers and they manage that stock different. We are about 1/2 of last years run right now. If we dont get some successive BIG 8-15,000 days pretty quick its going to be bleak
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