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I drove by yesterday and there was no signs of ice yet. The temps never did get above freezing for the whole day.
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It's simple. Your own prior experience (mid-December last year), plus maaayyybe two extra weeks for "cushion" because it's been a bit warmer this year.
So anywhere from Dec 15 to Dec 31.
If that's not a tight enough range for ya, find out what current water temp is, factor in a weekly water temp decrease of what? 1 to 3 degrees? and see if that helps.
Whatever you come up with is not going to be more than two weeks off the mark.
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Thanks for the info guys. I drove by Mantua today (just along the highway) and it looks like the edges might be icing up.
It won't be long...
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Or another way of predicting hard water is to go back to prior year posts around the time of ice up (or Search), and adjust for current year conditions.
12-01-06: [url "http://www.bigfishtackle.com/cgi-bin/gforum/gforum.cgi?post=291851;sb=post_latest_reply;so=ASC;forum_view=forum_view_collapsed;;page=unread#unread"][#800080]Mantua is ice capped![/#800080][/url]
12-04-06: [url "http://www.bigfishtackle.com/cgi-bin/gforum/gforum.cgi?post=292494;sb=post_latest_reply;so=ASC;forum_view=forum_view_collapsed;;page=unread#unread"]Mantua[/url]
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[cool]Or Derek, you can go to ksl.com and check out the forcast for next week for example. Gonna be down in the teens in SL Valley and I would think 5-10 degrees less than that at Mantua. Sounds like ice making to me. Mantua will have safe ice around the 15th or a couple days later...see ya up there...
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]Any of you fishing fanatics have a guess for when Mantua will freeze over? If I remember correctly, it was frozen over last year around the middle of December, so I'm thinkin' we're still a couple weeks away. The night temps up here in Cache Valley have been plummeting though, so that's a good sign.
